TAB: How to Win Betting rugby league

TAB: How to Win Betting rugby league

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Great players always make a difference but key players can and do change betting lines. North Queensland have long struggled without Johnathan Thurston. South Sydney have Sam Burgess and Greg Inglis but it is Damien Cook who is their key man.

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Over the last decade, NRL games have seen the ‘Total Combined Points’ option go under at a rate of 62% when conditions have been wet. The Dragons and Storm both go under at 85% when they play in inclement conditions. Rugby League is one of the most popular sports in New Zealand and is also one of the most bet on.

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Since 2006, only one team not ranked in the Top 3 of points conceded has won a title. Seven of the last 12 premiers have been the top-rated defensive side. North Queensland, who were the fifth best defensive team when they won the title in 2015, were the lowest ranked defensive team to win a premiership since 2005. Bookmakers just don’t adjust the line low enough when conditions are wet.